The impact of AI on the trading market is evident. But, is it for good? The world of CFD [Contract For Differences] is already shaken up and going through significant changes and trend-shifting in 2024. The impact of AI is surely one of them! Traders are all curious to learn how the implication of AI can impact CFD trading. We are too! Hence, it’s time to shed light on the upcoming impact of AI and other key factors for good.
AI’s Upcoming Impact on CFD Trading
In 2023, the implementation of AI to analyze the Crypto market was incredible. Following the queue, it is expected that the Crypto world, as well as the CFD trading itself, is going to experience more AI incorporations. Whether it is fraud detection or risk management, the use of AI could be extremely profitable. Moreover, when it comes to offering personalized investment recommendations to the users, what could be better than AI?
AI is fluent in analyzing huge amounts of data in minimum time. Using this strength of AI, one can analyze market trends and market data. AI can also help in making swift decisions, and informed trading decisions, thus leading to creating personalized financial goals for individuals. AI has already proven effective in calculating individual risk tolerances.
The incorporation of AI in CFD trading can help traders get market forecasts in advance along with tallying market history. Also, removing human emotions can reduce biases in the trading process significantly.
In short, we are going to witness significant positive changes for sure in CFD trading as well as other trading ecosystems with the integration of AI.
Inflation is Down, Interest Rates May Follow
The inflation mark has always impacted the CFD market severely. 2024 is going to be no exception. As we approach 2024, the curve of the inflation rate is going down, and so do the interest rates. The US economy took a hit and as a result, the consumer price index (CPI) as well as the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index are showing continual decline.
Markets rallied at the end of 2023 bets on no longer rate hikes. The trading market in 2024 will follow the same path without any doubt. The falling rate environment is already threatening investors in 2024.
On the other hand, the US labor market is predicted to show continuous growth. Unfortunately, the US dollar will lose its stronghold because of the falling rates, as this was a key cause behind its strengthening in 2023.
In a nutshell, the inflation rate going down will have a severe impact on the CFD market and it is expected to remain the same through 2024.
New Global Corporate Tax Implications
The CFD trading ecosystem in 2024 will be influenced by the implementation of the Pillar Two tax reform. The reformation in the international tax changes looks promising, but the progress rate is slow. As per the new tax implementation, it is mandatory that international enterprises with more than €750 million revenues have to pay a minimum of 15% global taxes. This sounds like a fair practice to attract more foreign investments by lowering corporate taxes.
As predicted by the financial advisors, complying with the Pillar Two tax requirements will have a direct impact on the CFD market. The profit from CFD trading can also come under taxation to some extent. Also, the Pillar Two tax reform will have an impact on the international ‘deals’, which will influence market volatility.
In short, the new global corporate tax implementation can and will spike the market volatility and CFD trading will be impacted accordingly.
Bitcoin ETFs, 401ks, and the SEC
The exposure of Bitcoin in the US market will have an impact on the CFD trading. Long awaited approval of a Bitcoin ETF [Exchange-Traded Fund] by the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States is a significant development.
A Bitcoin ETF allows traders to predict the market price of Bitcoin for a time period, and to do that, the crypto traders do not need to have any Bitcoin in their possession. Now that the traders do not need to directly hold Bitcoin to become a Bitcoin trader, it will open a broader window for the investors.
The Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States will clear all the pending approvals for the Bitcoin ETF products by January 2024. After that, the crypto market will surely go through severe changes, which will impact the CFD traders too. It is also anticipated that a large number of CFD traders may shift to Bitcoin ETF.
In short, the decision to introduce Bitcoin ETFs in the US market could demean the CFD market if not wipe out all.
CFD Regulatory Shifts (Spain, UK, etc.)
Considering all other factors affecting the CFD market [especially AI and Bitcoin ETF], CFD trading regulations will go through changes as of 2024, mostly in European countries. For instance, Spain’s expanded restrictions on the CFD trading is already in effect from July 20, 2023. These measures impose restrictions on certain marketing practices as well as restricting the sales agents and call centers to some extent.
On the other hand, the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is running surveillance on CFD providers and trying to reduce market manipulation. Can tighter controls on the CFD market help to survive the CFD trading? We have to observe the CFD trading market to reach any conclusion.
The CFD trading market in 2024 will go through many ups and downs. Considering all the influential factors, we can only reach the prediction that the CFD market will be volatile in 2024.